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2024-12-13 05:37:17

The market finally ushered in a breakthrough on Friday, and a big triangle consolidation from October 8 to now has basically ended. This is only the Shanghai Stock Exchange Index, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index and the Growth Enterprise Market Index are still in the process of triangle consolidation, so it is still difficult to form a consistent upward expectation. In the future, the probability will be mainly divided, and there will be no overall upward trend.Securities Times article: Don't speculate on "homophonic stalks". Blind speculation is harmful to obtaining long-term investment returns. The official media have voiced their voices, which means that these chaos in the market will be standardized in the future, and it is also a kind of vigilance and protection for investors.Executives of photovoltaic module battery enterprises: Self-discipline convention has been signed, and production capacity will be controlled next month.


In fact, the market should have been constrained in this way a long time ago. Many industries are prone to various kinds of production capacity, and an industry with good results is hard to survive because of various price wars, which also leads to a very long period for the whole industry to recover.Penalties for violations of laws and regulations have increased, driving the market to be more standardized.The non-agricultural rebound in November in the United States exceeded expectations, and the unemployment rate rose slightly, pushing up the probability of interest rate cuts this month.


Friday's market was flat before 10:30, so the market enthusiasm was ignited again, thus the increase in volume broke through this triangle arrangement.At present, photovoltaic is more of a restorative rise in destocking, and it is difficult to get out of the trend market again. Unless new demand breaks out, expectations should not be too high.Before the US stock market closed on Friday (December 6), the employment situation report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the non-agricultural sector rebounded sharply in November, which was stronger than market expectations, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% as scheduled. According to specific data, the number of non-agricultural employees in the United States increased by 227,000 in November after the seasonal adjustment, the largest increase since March, higher than the market expectation of 200,000, and the data in October was revised from 12,000 to 36,000.

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